Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 298.400888 338.394847 383.090382 436.989734 500.552359 573.525448 664.215357
2025-02-09 239.077265 291.033938 354.492799 438.689288 548.960237 690.588212 889.768124
2025-02-16 201.822328 256.651662 327.444549 427.332512 567.597585 762.196315 1061.184606
2025-02-23 176.523172 232.251849 307.423001 418.866963 584.588618 829.957823 1237.090571
2025-03-02 163.002468 221.130762 302.713711 429.318013 628.025509 941.263503 1502.170685
2025-03-09 149.325368 207.770327 292.556560 429.320512 654.191760 1028.763267 1747.294824
2025-03-16 135.874371 193.078275 278.394970 420.605778 663.990056 1089.483927 1957.757920
2025-03-23 126.792948 183.866269 271.304474 421.819341 689.886319 1182.026297 2252.663695
2025-03-30 116.834229 172.294808 259.182711 412.857560 696.008505 1238.338947 2486.920943
2025-04-06 109.551502 164.237552 251.819695 410.954998 714.368767 1321.226819 2803.436392
2025-04-13 99.892684 151.559333 235.645833 391.490191 696.281074 1326.105339 2935.798511
2025-04-20 97.427964 150.421538 238.721844 407.245924 749.602015 1492.915804 3530.842580
2025-04-27 95.905654 150.859861 244.774639 429.821757 821.831382 1721.544422 4396.348043
2025-05-04 91.139900 145.388852 239.889332 430.679994 848.171042 1849.154903 5026.168682
2025-05-11 85.184582 137.383159 229.683895 419.647540 846.204255 1905.658720 5454.692095
2025-05-18 80.159143 130.664022 221.287812 411.362740 849.265711 1976.205847 5966.142782
2025-05-25 77.913606 128.756193 221.727101 421.583341 897.814937 2182.779252 7088.983095
2025-06-01 74.611454 124.677478 217.648916 421.585733 921.333643 2324.581060 8043.372161
2025-06-08 70.609198 119.038330 210.082875 413.063716 921.888109 2398.158842 8752.705571
2025-06-15 67.976657 115.792378 206.990174 414.250498 948.038714 2559.082959 9977.030437
2025-06-22 64.504950 110.740298 199.892497 405.486069 946.089335 2628.532845 10800.886711
2025-06-29 61.971855 107.339790 195.914836 403.625279 963.042891 2767.535734 12109.762311
2025-07-06 57.960798 100.858253 185.156878 384.585250 928.546787 2717.054309 12302.703701